I don’t win on 100% of my trades. You don’t either. That’s to be expected. You can Estimate the probability of a trade winning in a variety of ways, but it is only an estimate and it certainly isn’t 100%! Sometimes you even place a trade and you are perfectly […]
bearish
Simply put, betting against Apple is a bad idea. I’m going to recommend it anyway. 10 years ago Apple (Ticker: AAPL) was trading in the 30s. It is currently, as of 5/15/2020 above 300, up over 9 times while the broader market is up less than 3 times. Buying and […]
5/17/2020 Plan: Two ideas to consider this week – one bearish positions and one bullish. Pick one or the other, or both! 5/17/2020 Plan (continued): AAPL – 5 Jun- Sell 330/335 call spread for a 0.47 credit. JPM – 5 Jun – sell the 78/75 put spread for a 0.51 […]
I’ve taken zero Uber rides since COVID-19 began. How many have you taken? Prior to the crisis, I’ve used the service quite a bit, especially when on business travel. It is convenient and links up nicely with my expense reports. The company loses a lot of money, so while the […]